orld economy to shrink 5.2%

今年全球经济或下滑5.2%

The coronavirus will cause global economic output to contract by 5.2% in 2020, the World Bank said on Monday, warning its latest forecasts would be revised downward if uncertainty¹ persists over the pandemic and business lockdowns.

世界银行6月8日表示，新冠病毒将导致2020年全球经济产出萎缩5.2%，并警告称，如果大流行和企业停摆的不确定性持续存在，将下调这一最新预测。

In its latest Global Economic Prospects² report, the World Bank said advanced economies are expected to shrink 7% in 2020, while emerging market economies will contract 2.5%, their first since aggregate³ data became available in 1960.

世界银行在其最新发布的《全球经济展望》报告中表示，发达经济体2020年产出预计将萎缩7%，而新兴市场经济体将萎缩2.5%，为自1960年有汇总数据以来首次萎缩。

On a per-capita GDP basis, the global contraction⁴ will be the deepest since 1945-46, as World War II spending dried up.

全球人均国内生产总值将创自1945-46年以来最严重萎缩，当时二战时期的支出枯竭。

The report noted⁵ the downturn is hitting hardest in countries where the coronavirus epidemic⁶ has been the most severe and where there is heavy reliance on global trade, tourism, commodity exports and external financing.

报告指出，遭受经济打击最为严重的是那些受新冠病毒疫情影响最严重的国家，以及极度依赖全球贸易、旅游、商品出口和外部融资的国家。

The report also showed 2020 contractions⁷ of 6.1% for the US and Japan, a 9.1% contraction for the Eurozone, 8% for Brazil and 3.2% for India. China is expected to maintain growth of 1% in 2020.

报告还显示，2020年美国和日本的经济预计将缩减6.1%，欧元区萎缩9.1%，巴西和印度分别收缩8%和3.2%。预计中国2020年将保持1%的增长。