US president Donald Trump¹ risks stoking extremism in Africa and provoking a further exodus² of migrants heading for Europe if he goes ahead with plans to cut funding to the continent, according to the head of the African Development Bank.

非洲开发银行(AfDB)掌舵人称，如果美国总统唐纳德?特朗普(Donald Trump)推进他的削减对非洲拨款计划，他有可能助长这个大洲的极端主义，并刺激更多移民前往欧洲。

Akinwumi Adesina, president of the AfDB, told the Financial Times that Africa was facing a “triangle of disaster” in high youth unemployment, extreme poverty and environmental degradation³ related to climate change.

非洲开发银行行长阿金武米?阿德希纳(Akinwumi Adesina)告诉英国《金融时报》，非洲正面临一个“灾难三角”，即青年失业率高、极端贫困，以及与气候变化相关的环境退化。

His warning comes after Mr Trump proposed a budget last month that would slash⁴ foreign aid and cut the US contribution to the World Bank and other multilateral development banks, such as the AfDB, by $650m annually⁵.

在他发出这番警告之前，上月特朗普提议了一份预算，拟大幅削减对外援助、并减少美国对世行(WB)以及非洲开发银行等其他多边开发银行的拨款——每年减少6.5亿美元。

“The development agenda must not be myopic⁶. We must therefore do everything to support Africa, to create more jobs?.?.?.?To do that requires a lot of financing. We need more resources to do more as a bank,” Mr Adesina said.

“发展议程务不能短视。因此，我们必须全力以赴地支持非洲，创造更多就业机会……做到这一点需要大量资金。作为一家银行，我们需要更多资源来做更多事情，”阿德希纳说。

“Everywhere you find this triangle of disaster you always find terrorists,” he added.

“你在哪里发现这种灾难三角，就总能在那里发现恐怖分子，”他接着说。

Somalia, where al-Shabaab extremists have a strong foothold, has been hit by a series of severe droughts that many experts link to global warming. In north-east Nigeria, a region where Boko Haram militants⁷ have wreaked⁸ havoc⁹, poverty and lack of job opportunities are often cited as contributing to young people’s susceptibility to extremism.

青年党(al-Shabaab)极端分子拥有稳固立足点的索马里，遭受了一连串严重干旱的冲击。许多专家认为这些旱灾与全球变暖有关。在非洲东北的尼日利亚——博科哈拉姆(Boko Haram)武装分子对该国造成了严重破坏——贫困和缺乏就业机会往往被认为是导致年轻人容易接受极端主义的推动因素。

Many African countries, particularly commodity exporters, have also been enduring their worst economic downturns in years.

许多非洲国家、特别是大宗商品出口国，近期经历着多年来最严重的经济下滑。

Last week, the International Monetary¹⁰ Fund reduced its growth projection¹¹ for sub-Saharan Africa to 2.6 per cent this year, although the figure is skewed by the poor performance of South Africa, as well as big oil producers such as Nigeria and Angola. Still, the IMF warned that the region was set to record a second consecutive¹² year of output lagging population growth, meaning per capita incomes are falling in some countries.

上周，国际货币基金组织(IMF)把撒哈拉以南非洲地区今年的增长预测下调至2.6%，尽管这个数字受到了南非、以及尼日利亚和安哥拉等产油大国的糟糕表现的拖累。不过，IMF警告称，该地区将连续第二年产出增长低于人口增长，意味着有些国家的人均收入正在下降。

The potential cut to US funding also comes at a time when some multilateral institutions, including the World Bank, are running up against capital limits and being forced to scale back lending. In an interview with the FT last week, Steven Mnuchin, US Treasury¹³ secretary, was non-committal over whether the new administration would back a capital increase for the World Bank.

就在美国可能减少拨款之际，包括世行在内的一些多边机构开始遭遇资本限制，被迫减少放贷。在上周接受英国《金融时报》采访时，美国财长史蒂文?姆努钦(Steven Mnuchin)没有在特朗普政府是否将支持对世行增资的问题上表态。

Mr Adesina said multilateral development banks were needed more than ever.

阿德希纳表示，现在比以往任何时候都更需要多边开发银行。

“If you don’t create jobs in Africa fast then the whole terrorism thing that you see in Africa is just the tip of the iceberg,” he said. “Look at all the young people heading for the Mediterranean¹⁴ Sea. The future of Africa doesn’t lie on the bottom of the Mediterranean Sea. It lies in a more prosperous Africa.”

“如果你不迅速在非洲创造就业机会，那么你在非洲看到的恐怖主义问题只不过是冰山一角，”他说，“看看所有那些涌向地中海的年轻人。非洲的未来不在地中海的底部，而在于一个更繁荣的非洲。”

He also appealed to Mr Trump’s business instincts. The AfDB’s work on infrastructure¹⁵ and other projects benefited US companies operating in Africa, he said.

他还试图打动特朗普的商业本能。他表示，非洲开发银行在基础设施和其他项目上开展的工作，有利于在非洲经营的美国公司。

US legislation giving African countries preferential trade access to the US — the African Growth and Opportunity Act — had helped non-oil African exports to the US reach $4.5bn annually, but also contributed to $18bn of US exports to Africa, creating an estimated 210,000 jobs, Mr Adesina said.

阿德希纳表示，美国给予非洲国家特惠贸易待遇的立法——《非洲增长与机遇法》(African Growth and Opportunity Act)-——已帮助非洲实现每年45亿美元的非石油对美出口，而且也促进美国对非洲出口达到180亿美元，创造了大约21万个工作岗位。

Jeffrey Sachs, a development expert, said that while Washington worried about “wasting our money in Africa”, Beijing was busily seizing the commercial opportunity.

发展专家杰弗里?萨克斯(Jeffrey Sachs)指出，在华盛顿方面担心“在非洲浪费我们的资金”的同时，北京方面正忙着抓住商机。

“China says we’re not wasting our money, we’re building a new world economy. China gets it and Europe and the US have not gotten it,” Mr Sachs said.

“中国说，我们不是在浪费资金，我们在打造新的世界经济。中国明白这一点，而欧洲和美国都没明白，”萨克斯说。